Today AOA 9:50PM will mark exactly one year since the devestating EF-5 leveled 95% of the town of Greensburg in Kiowa County, Kansas. I still remember that May 4th in 2007. I was at work, dreading the missed chasing opportunity that I had told my co-workers a week in advance that I was probably not going to be at work that day... President Bush was in Greensburg to head the commencement address at the local high school, and a wealth of festivals, ground-breakings, and the such have been going on in the town to mark the one year anniversary.
Now...we have a very interesting weather scenario panning out this coming Wednesday. The models are having a very hard time coming to grips with this system, and feel that they are suffering from convective feedback which the models seem to want to downplay the events on Wednesday. The NAM, GFS, and the ECMWF are in general agreement on the position on the surface low and upper level system, but that's basically about it. The finer details of the day, from temperatures, dewpoints, etc. are not being handled well as is evident by the wide array of forecasts produced by the models. We will see how the models progress on this system on further model runs. I already have the day off (usual 3 days off on work week) so will be looking forward to see how this system pans out and to plan for a potential chasing opportunity.
# posted by VORTEXpursuit.com Storm Chasing @ 5/04/2008 04:05:00 PM
