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Sunday, April 6, 2008

Tomorrow's SVR Potential

Tomorrow just seemed to crawl out of the woodwork but the latest models runs have been consistent with showing a deep surface low pressure (996-999mb) in the E TX panhandle/W OK by 0Z Tuesday. A triple point/sharp dryline will set up in front of the system in west central Oklahoma and a warm front to the north (looks like around the KS/OK border). Questions on moisture return still prevail but with Td's already at 55 degrees in Gainesville, TX as of 5PM, those questions may become less of a concern. Directional shear present, along with moderate to high instability, and backing of H85 winds lead me to believe that this could become a decent severe weather day. SPC is already mentioning of a possible moderate risk when the new Day 1 outlook comes out at 1AM. I will make a decision regarding chasing after the 0Z runs come out, but in all, looks like the first real chase of the year! So far the target area is along a line from Woodward, OK, to Clinton, to Burns Flat. (It will be kinda neat to visit Burns Flat as my dad was stationed there at the former Air Force base that was located at the city.)

In other news, KU and Memphis going after the title. I will take chasing over the game, as I will just record the game on my HD DVR to watch later.

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