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Monday, March 31, 2008

Upcoming Severe Potential

I attempted to go chasing today, but I made it as far as near Louisburg, KS when I decided to call off going any further. Good choice as all the day has been so far in Kansas and Missouri have been linear convection with a few, and I say few embedded supercells that prompted a few tornado warnings. I won't call today an official chase for my records since Louisburg, KS is about 25 miles from Gardner, KS.

But anyhow, there is another chance of severe weather coming up in the middle part of this week. A sharp dryline will set up with a surface storm system in southern Oklahoma and northern Texas. NAM has the forecasted system a little more south than the GFS, the GFS is setting up a triple point closer to Oklahoma City/Norman, while the NAM is setting up its triple point south of the Red River. I will be able to chase something near Oklahoma City, but with the NAM model, it is probable that I won't be able to go. It is 72-84 hours out on the models right now, and a lot can change, so stay tuned. The VORTEXpursuit.com Chase Status drops back to a code green as we monitor this system.

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