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Thursday, March 20, 2008

More GFS Wishcasting!

There is nothing much better to do storm chasing wise than look at the GFS model for more wishcasting! The current 12Z model runs highlight what appears to be next Thursday, March 27th. A mid week warm up appears to be happening with surface air temperatures in the middle to upper 60's in the Kansas City area to 80 degrees or above in the Texas Panhandle. It appears that a surface low pressure system will be moving to the southeast during the day from Wyoming to the Texas Panhandle. WNW 500mb winds will turn to the WSW from Wednesday into Thursday. Moisture should be making a return with 60-65 degree dewpoints forecasted to arrive as far north as the Kansas City metro area with 65-70 degree dewpoints from the Red River south in Texas in front of a sharp dryline that is set up. All I can say is to hope that the GFS maintains some consistency with this system as the time of arrival comes closer, but of course this is the first mention this model has of this particular storm/location. With all the hype that was on the Saint Patrick's Day system (myself included) which only netted 3 tornado reports, I'll keep it cool for a few more days.

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